The cryptocurrency market is a land where investors are waiting and fluctuating in an age where Altcoins, a digital currency other than Bitcoin, stands out and generates significant profits.
But patience runs out. Bitcoin has a hard time keeping things stable upwards, Altcoins face significant falls and leave losses for many investors.
Previous cycles provide a detailed discussion of cryptographic analysis. This is an era when the proportion of Bitcoin in the medium and long term was constantly declining, driving a sustained rise in altcoin prices. At the final stages of each cycle, the altcoins had experienced a significant increase. This phenomenon, known as AltSeason, is characterized by an increase in the value and volume of non-Bitcoin cryptocurrency trade, taking advantage of the liquidity generated by the growth of BTC.
The current cycle is an altcoin roller coaster
In the current cycle, Bitcoin is experiencing fluctuations, but in 2025 it achieved a level above $100,000, according to Bitcoin’s capitalized graph by UTXO Age Bands or Unbounded Transaction Output (Unpent Transaction Output). Showing how ownership patterns affect capital flows to Altcoins.
The graph highlights the important moments of the Bitcoin cycle. Three green arrow mark period with reduced long term holdings: Between 2017-2018, 2020 and 2021, 2024, 2025 and 2025. In each case, sales of these long-term holders coincided with a significant rise in Bitcoin prices, reaching $20,000, 69,000 and $100,000, respectively.
In 2025, Bitcoin prices have stabilized around $100,000 after a decline in long-term holdings. However, two red eggs in 2024 and 2025 indicate periods of accumulation. This shows an amendment in 2024 after a maximum of $80,000, and a correction of up to $74,000 after exceeding $100,000 in April last year. During these periods, long-term holdings increased; Shows investors have used these falls to accumulate Bitcoinit could have been able to limit the flow of capital to Altcoins.
Unlike past cycles, the current market presents its own challenges. Bitcoin faces repeated revisions after small profits, creating an environment of uncertainty. During these periods, Altcoins suffer from more serious falls, reflecting the general weaknesses of the sector. According to Crypto Dan, author of Cryptoquant Report, at this stage of the cycle, “it’s almost impossible to find an investor who will make a profit from Altcoins.”
This situation has created frustration among investors, Who sees how the Altcoins portfolio accumulates losses.
But not everything is pessimism. Analysts point out that as the cycle progresses towards the final stage, Bitcoin’s advantage may decrease, opening the door to a more prominent rebound for altcoins.
“It’s not time to give up hope yet. We’re already late in the cycle, so it’s worth waiting for the next Bitcoin promotion,” he says.
Signs of hope for the alto season
Despite the current difficulties, there are indications that an AltSeason may be in the process. Cryptonotics reported last May that Altcoins were experiencing significant output movements.
This means that the investor had withdrawn assets from the exchange. This could be interpreted as a long-term commitment. This behavior suggests that the owner is accumulating altcoins in his walletperhaps expects a future increase in its value.
However, for AltSeason to integrate, the market must meet certain criteria. So far, only 18% of the 50 main altcoins have surpassed Bitcoin performance in 90 days. A rate well below the 75% needed to consider AltSeason to be ongoingaccording to commonly accepted standards.
Another requirement is that Bitcoin prices remain stable at new historic maximums over the long term.
For now, this scenario has not been realized and maintains uncertainty regarding the arrival of the altcoin season. Binance flow is an optimistic signal, The market has yet to meet all the necessary elements to declare the start of the alto season.
Another AltSeason: 3 Factors that Mark a Course
If the AltSeason is completed in this cycle, it is different from last year. Three distinctive factors are the current panorama molding.
The first is institutional participation. The arrival of ETFs in Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) cash changed the market dynamics. Large institutional investors continue to concentrate on Bitcoin, Retailers are looking for opportunities with altcoins. The sector could generate AltSeasons driven primarily by retail interests, with institutional actors being more limited.
Second, speculations are in a particular sector. Speculative movements are concentrated in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence (AI). These projects have attracted attention from investors who see great growth potential for these altcoins. This trend reflects a more mature market, with investors looking for projects with specific use cases as well as searching for a typical altcoin.
Finally, there is a more friendly regulatory environment. In the US, expectations for a favorable approach to cryptocurrency have increased interest in diverse assets. Investors expect a clearer regulatory framework will help drive altcoins growth, particularly related to innovative sectors.
What do you expect towards the end of the cycle?
As the end of 2025 approaches, the cryptocurrency market could reach its peak.
Since the end of 2024, Cryptonoticias has shown that Bitcoin has lost control and can compete on the path to AltSeason. If this scenario is realized, altcoins can overcome BTC performance in the coming monthsmarks the end of the current cycle.
However, uncertainty persists. The biggest historic lack of maintained at Bitcoin prices and the low percentage of altcoins beyond their performance are serious obstacles.
While signs of Binance and increasing attention to sectors such as AI are promising, investors must remain cautious. If Altseason arrives, it will be a subtle phenomenon rather than a uniform event. Institutional participation, sector speculation, and regulations change.
