Before asking if you’re going to join the new AltSeason, it’s important to be clear about what you mean in that term.
Although there is no unique definition, one of the most consensus criteria is that this phenomenon is It occurs when at least 75% of the 50 major cryptocurrencies exceed Bitcoin Performance (BTC) The past 90 days.
According to BlockChaincenter Explorer, AltSeason is not yet apart from BTC’s performance as 41% of digital assets are currently outperforming BTC’s performance.
In this regard, the major issues that appear in the market are The rebound in Ethereum’s native cryptocurrency, Ether Price (ETH) could be a spark that begins this phenomenon.
As Cryptootics reports, ETH is citing at a level not seen since February 2025 due to growing institutional interest. More and more companies are accumulating ETH as a reserve asset to generate extra income through talent.
This new excellence has given the optimism of those who are seeing ETH at ETH the promoter of a new bullish cycle of cryptocurrency. Historically, a good performance of the Ethereum currency has been a prelude to a period of price rise for other projects with lower capitalization.
However, not everyone shares the same vision. One of them is Dominic Lombardo, a market analyst who believes ETH’s rebounds “doesn’t guarantee the AltS season.” In that sense, he proposes:
“I think the recent price rise shows that ETH is normalizing its position as digital silver. BTC is aimed at gold.”
Dominique Lombardo, market analyst.
This is because ETH has the ability to increase the prices of its own foundation. Because it supplies all the machines in the Ethereum ecosystem, ranging from intelligent contracts to distributed applications (DAPPS) and other services. Many cryptocurrencies don’t have clear cases of use, support, or Ethereum security.
Lombardo also has the US Federal Reserve system. We continue to implement financial policies to keep interest rates high. This limits the growth of risky assets such as low-capitalized cryptocurrencies.
High interest rates also increase the cost of liability, and investors choose to place their holdings on assets that are deemed safe.
Meanwhile, the analysts point out: “My own risk metrics within the financial markets show that we are close to our local maximums and near speculation peaks (though not as high as 2021). We see confluences with other markets, including cryptocurrencies.”
To maintain the analysis, we share a graph showing premium activity levels in permanent contracts for major altcoins (Orange Regions) from August 2022 to July 2025.
The horizontal blue line shows the average monthly level for this premium, about $32.9 million.
If your cousin is high, it means that the trader is paying more to maintain a long signature position. This usually indicates a lot of optimism or market speculation.
With a high level of leverage, the market becomes very sensitive to small price fluctuations. Even if the value is low, many leverage positions automatically deposit, causing high speeds and chain falls.
Lombardo also suggests considering the movement of the BTC whale in exchange (orange bar). This usually predicts an imminent correction. This raises questions about AltSeason’s sustainability, at least in the short term. “Remember: cryptocurrency is tied to the hips of Bitcoin,” he says.
Here we need to make it clear that not everyone believes that whale movements predict price adjustments. on the contrary. Cryptonoticias, Cryptonoticant experts, analytics companies report On-chainThey argue that “this capital rotation could boost altcoin gatherings as demand moves to alternative assets.”
Analysts point out that we are facing a classic market rotation cycle. It occurs when money flows from BTC to ether and eventually towards a lower capitalization project. This dynamic has already been proven. Cryptocurrencies such as XRP and BNB, as well as interchangeable native tokens have recently reached their historic maximum (ATH).
Lombardo claims that the conditions for the Alto season are not yet, but some indicators suggest that the market can quickly approach the 75% threshold.
