Contrary to the expected Uptober rally, Bitcoin has been flat this week due to an unexpected “Black Friday” correction and macroeconomic uncertainty. this is, uptober effect It is speculative and makes new investors skeptical about investing in the asset.
In this article, we will analyze the current market scenario of Bitcoin and correlate it with past October movements to predict the movement of BTC throughout October 2025. Let’s get started.
Historical data: Bitcoin (BTC) was mostly bullish in October
With two exceptions in 2018 and 2014, October has been bullish for Bitcoin from the start. In all other years, Bitcoin has been profitable for traders in October, with 2017 and 2021 delivering the largest gains.
| year | october exercise |
|---|---|
| 2025 | – |
| 2024 | 10.76% |
| 2023 | 28.52% |
| 2022 | 5.56% |
| 2021 | 39.93% |
| 2020 | 27.70% |
| 2019 | 10.17% |
| 2018 | -3.83% |
| 2017 | 47.81% |
| 2016 | 14.71% |
| 2015 | 33.49% |
| 2014 | -12.95% |
| 2013 | 60.79% |
2025 Uptober Reflects BTC’s 2021 and 2017 Bull Markets
Looking at historical chart data, we observe a consistent weekly increase throughout October. There were no major corrections throughout the month, with steady increases each week. In both 2017 and 2021, the “ignition month” before the final high of Q4 was October.
After a bearish September, both the 2017 and 2021 cycles have started to regain momentum. In 2017, BTC rose about 36% in the first week as investors regained confidence following concerns over a Chinese embargo. In 2021, wealth increased by approximately 14% due to expectations for economic growth in the United States. Bitcoin ETF Approved. The stock remained bullish in the weeks that followed. A detailed table is shown below.
| time frame | 2017 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 (October 1-7) | Open: $4,341.05; Close: $5,754.44 | Open: $43,000; Close: $48,000 |
| 2nd week | Open: $5,754.44; Close: $5,899.74 | Open: $48,000; Close: $55,000 |
| 3rd week | Open: $5,899.74; Close: $6,153.85 | Open: $55,000; Close: $60,000 |
| Week 4 | Open: $6,153.85; Close: $6,468.40 | Opening: $60,000. Close: $61,318 |
Does this mean October 2025? Bitcoin Price Prediction
The bullish trend in BTC in October 2017 and 2021 has many similarities with the movement in October 2025. Bitcoin is currently recovering from its September slump, and ETF inflows are stabilizing. Predictions based on past data and technical analysis The third week of October 2025 suggests that the current sideways movement may continue.
However, Bitcoin has the potential to rise above its current level. $111,000 – $112,000is predicted to soar to an all-time high by the end of the third week of October and hit $126,856 by October 22nd. The final week could see a slight downtrend, paving the way for a possible cycle peak near late Q4 2025. Here are the daily forecasts through October 31st.
- October 17, 2025 – $112,657
- October 18, 2025 – $115,659
- October 19, 2025 – $119,398
- October 20, 2025 – $123,325
- October 21, 2025 – $126,414
- October 22, 2025 – $126,856
- October 23, 2025 – $124,288
- October 24, 2025 – $122,530
- October 25, 2025 – $123,113
- October 26, 2025 – $124,046
- October 27, 2025 – $124,701
- October 28, 2025 – $124,553
- October 29, 2025 – $123,984
- October 30, 2025 – $123,450
- October 31, 2025 – $123,063
Disclaimer: These cryptocurrency price predictions are based on predictive modeling and should not be considered financial advice.
Conclusion: Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
Price predictions based on technicals, historical data, and market sentiment indicate that Bitcoin could continue its October rally and hit new all-time highs. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin remains a highly volatile asset and is subject to unexpected reversals. Therefore, we recommend doing your own research to find the entry and exit points that suit you. Always Daior!
Bitcoin is currently trading at $111,530, down about 8% from last week.
