After more than 15 years of existence, Bitcoin has established many trends in which all analysts point to historical value. One of these established trends is the number of weeks when Bitcoin prices have been promoted again before they see a big pullback in each cycle. One trend stands out in particular due to the similarity of each cycle over the years, which is the 6-7 week trend that is often predicted when major Bitcoin corrections reach the deadline.
Understanding the 6-7 week Bitcoin theory
In X’s post, popular Crypto analyst Rekt Capital explained how Bitcoin price corrections worked in past cycles to understand when the next fix is in progress. Pointing to a recurring trend, analysts showed how much cryptocurrency prices had risen before they first opened in the 2013 cycle when Bitcoin recovered. In 2013, Bitcoin prices rose for the first six weeks after the price discovery was completed. Only in week 7, cryptocurrency saw its first major fix.
Next was the 2017 cycle when Bitcoin began discovering prices and recovered for over seven weeks. This stable pattern pushed prices to a new all-time high after nearly two months of rallying. Ultimately, it wasn’t until week 8 that BTC experienced its first major price adjustment. It fell 34% during this period, signaling the end of the rally.
Then again, at the historic 2020-2021 rally, Bitcoin will enter into price discovery and will mercilessly rallies over the next six weeks. As before, BTC prices begin to recede only at the 7-week mark, falling 16% during this period.
The same trend also saw Bitcoin prices rise for seven weeks in early 2025, followed by a 32% revision of $75,000 in the first quarter of the year. This shows an alternative to the 6-7 week gathering before a major revision. But nonetheless, one thing remains constant. Once Bitcoin enters price discovery, it tends to have a runway for at least six weeks before experiencing the first major fix.
There is BTC in this cycle
The current rally has already been seen invading the territory with Bitcoin prices of $120,000. This is the unknown territory of digital assets. However, as analysts have pointed out, BTC prices have only gathered for two weeks since cryptocurrencies entered price discovery.
Beyond the alternating trend of 6-7 weeks, this price discovery increases the chances that it will last for six weeks. Considering that it’s the second week, according to Rekt Capital, there’s a theoretically another month’s advantage before the price of Bitcoin faces a real initial rejection and subsequent revisions.
This means that the rest of July will remain bullish for the crypto market and move into August. However, the six- to seven-week theory makes it bearish for the market as the first revisions occur around this time, which is likely to be over 30% corrections at the end of August.
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