summary
- BTC traded nearly 109.7k, and after a volatile August, resistance fell to $112,000 to $108,000 support.
- Over $112K could trigger a rally from $116,000 to $120,000 supported by ETF influx and strong long-term holder data.
- There is a deeper risk of losses below $108K, especially if macro headwinds continue, with downside targets of between $105,000 and $103,000.
- Institutional accumulation continues, suggesting a positive long-term outlook despite short-term uncertainty.
- Price tightening indicates an imminent breakout or failure, with neutral BTC price forecasts waiting for a clear direction.
After August of the roller coaster, Bitcoin got caught up in a holding pattern, trading sideways, embracing resistance. However, this calm does not continue. Prices are tight and breakouts (or breakdowns) appear to be close by.
This Bitcoin price forecast delves into whether BTC has momentum above $112K or is back to support $108,000. The next move could be a big move as global uncertainty hangs in the market.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Information
Bitcoin sits near $109,700 today, but is stable rather than making a big move. $112K still serves as a resistance, with $108,000 to $109,000 becoming a solid floor.
BTC 1-Day Chart, September 2025 | Source: crypto.news
Even with price action being cooled, Bitcoin’s outlook remains positive. The purchase of facilities has not slowed down, indicating long-term convictions in the face of short-term uncertainty.
The bullish catalyst for bitcoin prices
If it exceeds $112K, you could flip the script for Bitcoin. That resistance was tough, but breakouts could open the doors from $116K to $118,000 in short order. Then the next big psychological level is $120K. This is a number that holds weight from a technical and historical perspective.
On-chain data supports bullish cases. Long-term holders remain profitable and spending remains low. It is often a signal of trust in future benefits. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF products continue to attract inflows, reduce circulation supply and put upward pressure on prices.
You might like it too: Metaplanet shareholders have approved a $884 million expansion of Bitcoin Treasury
If the Federal Reserve is taking a more stubborn tone at upcoming meetings, risky assets like Bitcoin could benefit. A pause or rate reduction could weaken the US dollar and push capital into valued alternatives, adding it to the bull projection of BTC on Q4.
Factors that can cause Bitcoin price
However, if you can’t exceed $112K, you could potentially be invited to update sales pressure. In this scenario, BTC may retest the $10,000-$100,000 support zone. A clean break below this range probably leads to a deeper pullback, with downside targets ranging from $105,000 to $103,000.
Wide macro headwinds, including ongoing rate uncertainty, weaker stock markets, or stronger US dollars, could limit Bitcoin’s emergency momentum and leaner the balance towards risk-off actions. In such a scenario, investors’ sentiment can quickly become sour, increasing volatility and limiting short-term recovery.
Bitcoin price forecast based on current levels
Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading within the $108,000-$112,000 range. A breakout above $112K indicates bullish continuation, potentially reaching $116,000 to $118,000, and even $120,000 under favorable macro conditions.
Conversely, breakdowns below $108,000 could launch a bearish continuation pattern that could expose BTC to under $105,000.
Bitcoin price forecast today
Bitcoin trading with pressure cooker. With levels of tightening and macros still in fluidity, there are expectations for breakouts or breakdowns over the next few days or weeks.
At this point, BTC price forecasts remain neutral, with everyone looking at a clear signal.
read more: Bitcoin price decline driven by short-term sales, long-term holders remain stable: analysis
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
