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Bloomberg Intelligence ETF Analyst James Safert in a conversation with the Bitcoin Economy Podcast that the next, potentially largest institutional demand footing for spot Bitcoin exchange trade funds will not come from pension funds, donations, or sovereign wealth managers. Instead, it occurs when a fragmented network of registered investment advisors (RIAs) ultimately gains full discretionary clearance and recommends Bitcoin ETFs to regular clients.
“The biggest bull case in ETF is the RIA unlock for 2025,” Seyffart I said. “At the moment, the majority of assets are trapped in the middle ground. If a client specifically asks to purchase a Bitcoin ETF, the advisor can act, but the advisor cannot begin the recommendation.”
The biggest bull case of Bitcoin in 2025
Seyffart divided compliance bottlenecks into traffic light schemas that most financial advisors recognize. Red Light Farm makes Bitcoin a completely bar. The Yellow Light Company allows unsolicited purchases (“If you come to me and ask for it, I can do it”). Also, using the Green Light Company, the advisor can ask for allocation (“I recommend putting 2% of your portfolio in Bitcoin”).
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Wirehouse brokers – dealers still detaining trillions of dollars – remain in red or yellow camps paralyzed by a multi-year commission of obligation. In contrast, independent Rias was “early recruiting,” Seyfert pointed out. Because they say they don’t have to wait for the due digerigation team of many people sitting in New York. But even among independents, most advisors outsource their portfolio structure to a centralized model portfolio. Discretionary intake remains stifled until these models are flagged as eligible holdings for Bitcoin ETFs.
Seyffart’s focus for 2025 is not calendar, not calendar. The first full calendar year after launch gives the compliance team 12 months of daily history.It’s often a difficult requirement Before the new ETF graduates from yellow to green status. “It usually takes two to three years for an ETF to be approved,” he said, but the extraordinary size and liquidity of the spot bitcoin cohort is already accelerating that cycle.
Importantly, the next Form 13F reporting deadline for August 15, 2025 reveals its second quarter holdings as of June 30th. Seyffart hopes that the data will ensure “more RIAs are coming online and are buying this for clients,” providing the first concrete measure of green light conversion.
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If gatekeeping is backwards, model portfolio architects can incorporate historically uncorrelated returns of Bitcoin into a strategic replacement framework. This will require advisors to have Bitcoin exposure, Influent flywheel. Seyffart warned that the same compliance team would require that iron-covered trustees continue to be concerned about urinating, custody and tax treatment, but claimed that the ETF would now offer rappers familiar to any wealth platform.
Seyffart’s paper is that the moment when the critical mass of the compliance committee flips from yellow to green, when the advisor allows it to recommend Bitcoin rather than simply trading, the flow may be warping everything we’ve seen. Whether the inflection will arrive in the next 12 months is, in his opinion, “it’s the biggest one.” Bull case For Bitcoin. ”
At the time of pressing, BTC was traded for $108,250.
Featured images created with dall.e, charts on tradingview.com
