Ethereum (ETH) is entering a phase that analysts say resembles the early stages of the strongest market cycles, driven by institutional accumulation, reduced exchange supply, and new proposals aimed at stabilizing the network economy.
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Wall Street sentiment has shifted sharply recently as large investors deepen their presence and developers seek changes that would make trading fees more predictable. For many companies, the combination of tight supply and improving fundamentals creates conditions that can support meaningful price changes.
ETH's price records some gains on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview
Foreign exchange supply is tightening due to accelerating accumulation of financial institutions
Ethereum held on centralized exchanges has fallen to its lowest level since the network launched in 2015. Balances fell to 8.7% of total supply last week, down 43% since July, according to Glassnode data.
This reduction is related to staking, layer 2 migration, institutional custody, and long-term treasury allocation, and these destinations are unlikely to see tokens sent back to the exchange.
Bitmine Immersion Technologies, currently the largest corporate holder of Ether, increased its position by another $199 million over the weekend. The company manages $11.3 billion of ETH, representing about 3.08% of the supply, and continues to purchase toward its 5% goal.
ETFs have also contributed to the drawdown, with cumulative inflows now exceeding $12 billion. Analysts note that nearly 40% of all ETH is locked up in staking and institutional products, creating one of the toughest supply environments the asset has experienced.
Technical analysts are pointing to hidden signs of accumulation. Recent on-balance volume readings have shown the price above resistance even as it hovers around $3,050, a divergence that some are interpreting as indicating buying pressure.
Vitalik Buterin’s gas futures market proposal advances rate reform
Along with market activities, Vitalik Buterin’s new economic proposals are also attracting attention. The Ethereum co-founder outlined an on-chain gas futures system that allows users to lock in trading fees for future periods.
This mechanism is similar to traditional futures markets and is designed to help traders and developers avoid sudden increases in network demand.
Buterin argues that clearer forward pricing could support companies that rely on predictable costs, especially as activity expands across staking, tokenization and decentralized applications. The idea is still in its early stages, but is seen as part of a broader effort to improve Ethereum’s stability as it scales.
Analysts see conditions shaping for a larger cycle
Market commentators are increasingly citing a combination of reduced supply, increased institutional involvement, and improved network efficiency as reasons why Ethereum may outperform in the next major cycle.
Some have compared the current move to Bitcoin eight years ago, pointing to Ethereum’s evolving economic model and growing role in tokenized finance as broader drivers than in previous cycles.
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It remains unclear whether these trends will lead to immediate price increases. However, with exchange balances at record lows and financial institutions steadily accumulating, analysts agree that Ethereum is entering a structurally different phase, one defined by sustained demand rather than speculation.
Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview
