Will AVAX crash or rise?

With a major AVAX unlock scheduled for February 11, 2026, traders are trading cautiously when it comes to trading AVAX. Avalanche is expected to unlock a total of 1.67 million AVAX tokens come February 11, 2026. With a token release price this high, there is a risk of profit taking.

However, if demand for AVAX remains stable, large unlocks could be absorbed without significant price fluctuations. The AVAX unlock details were made public two days ago, so the industry is waiting for more news.

Given the current trends, this article looks at the long-term price prediction for AVAX.

AVAX Price Parameters November 17, 2025

Based on information from the market, traders seem to share a concerning outlook on AVAX. Investors are panicking as the unlock date approaches. Large unlocks like this have historically impacted AVAX prices.

One of the main reasons for such large price movements is rapid and indiscriminate profit taking. Whether the price of AVAX will fall will still depend on the potential of AVAX. If there is sufficient demand in the market due to market conditions and macroeconomic factors, unlocking may not put significant pressure on asset prices.

Institutional partnerships may emerge in the Avalanche

Based on news received from the industry, NH Nonghyup, one of the five largest banks in South Korea, is working on the following proof of concept. Value added tax (VAT) Refunds will be made in the form of stablecoins.

This could be a program launched in conjunction with South Korea’s plans to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Korean won. This stablecoin, called KRW, is being carefully considered by the South Korean government.

The stablecoin regulatory framework is being developed as a safeguard against the dominance of US dollar-backed stablecoins such as USDT and USDC.

In light of these recent events, NH Agricultural Cooperative Bank is also moving on the path of digitizing its assets. Avalanche plays a big role in this PoC as it is one of the four main entities involved in this process. In addition to Avalanche, the bank has included Mastercard, Worldpay, and Fireblocks in the PoC stage.

This program targets the growing number of tourists to South Korea. Choi Eun-jae, executive vice president of NH Nonghyup Bank, previously said that the PoC demonstrates how blockchain can improve customer experience and strengthen the country’s competitiveness against US dollar-backed stablecoins.

Banks plan to leverage blockchain technology Improve your refund process in two ways. A blockchain-based system automates the recording of refund data, increasing efficiency and convenience for both tourists and businesses. The second part leverages stablecoins for instant payments in the Korean tourist marketplace.

Banks therefore expect PoC to realize two key goals, including efficient processing of shopping and spending and real-time digital currency conversion.

If the PoC is successful, NH Agricultural Cooperative may move forward with the project, potentially giving Avalanche a much-needed institutional partnership during the token unlock scheduled for February 11, 2026, which could otherwise shake up the price of AVAX.

AVAX long-term price prediction

AVAX’s long-term price prediction appears to be accurate, as we see the potential for price declines from February onwards. This could potentially reduce the price upon unlocking. However, the forecast for the rest of 2026 looks bullish. This could be a blessing in disguise from industry news regarding Avalanche’s planned new institutional partnerships.

Based on the data available at the moment, this seems to be the price prediction for AVAX for the next few days. There is a short profit-taking window until February 2026, and then multiple entry points in 2026 and specifically August 2026.

conclusion

The upcoming unlocking of AVAX tokens poses a threat to the price, which could lead to price fluctuations due to profit taking. Without strong market demand and investor support, AVAX will likely remain in a bear market for most of 2026.

With new institutional investment on the horizon, AVAX is likely to be revived by the end of 2026. If this is true, 2026 could be a strategic year for investors to wisely take advantage of this opportunity to enter and exit the market.