The phrase “up to two” October has gained popularity in the crypto market as it has historically benefited its past. However, at XRP prices, the photos look very different. A closer look at its history shows that it is a mix of big victory and painful losses, and October is far less predictable.
Deleting extreme years indicates that the data refers to flat or negative outcomes. That means investors Relying on explosive gatherings You might be disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year brought significant benefits, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “up-to-bar” could be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders.
Historical data challenges XRP price “up-to-bar” hype
Every October, the crypto community wants coins to rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes meets this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from Cryptorank Showing XRP We have experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the past decade. In 2013, tokens skyrocketed by more than 94%. In 2014, 130% jumped. In 2020, it brought nearly 179% explosive rally in just a month.
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But these Large gatherings are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, XRP prices suffered double-digit losses in October 2018 and 2021. In other years, profits were only offered in a small amount that was far below what traders wanted. Remove highs and lows The overall trend is clear. The median return for XRP in October is actually a small loss of 1.79%, further exacerbating the average return rate at -4.58%.
This data suggests that October is much more likely to cause disappointment Explosive growth of XRP holders. The idea of ”up-to-bar” may sound exciting, but XRP history shows that October performances are scattered, unpredictable and often hostile.
The Q4 pattern shows the risk of relying on seasonal myths
Some traders say that even if October isn’t always a great month XRP Price It usually works well in the final quarter of this year. In fact, the last quarter can offer large gatherings, with XRP’s average Q4 return of nearly 88%. However, these results have been heavily distorted a few years ago. If the numbers are balanced, the median Q4 return is actually a loss of 4.32%.
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A negative median Q4 return indicates that perceptions of Q4 intensity are not as reliable as they are. The outstanding gatherings do not represent typical outcomes. Instead, most years will be modest or negative. The pattern refers to risk, It’s not certainfor those who assume that all Q4 bring green candles.
Historical data proves that while exceptional execution is possible, they are rare and the more general results are less exciting. XRP may still be surprised upside downhowever, history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month’s profit. Believing hype without considering risk can leave investors unprepared for disappointment.
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